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LONDON MARKET CLOSE: FTSE 100 dips as BP and Shell fall amid oil slide
- FTSE 100 Decline: Fell by 0.7% (66.52 points) to 9,684.79, driven by drops in defence and oil stocks due to speculation of a Russia-Ukraine war resolution.
- FTSE 250 and AIM All-Share: FTSE 250 closed slightly lower at 22,040.98, while AIM All-Share edged up by 0.18 points to 749.41.
- European Markets: CAC 40 (Paris) down 0.2%, DAX 40 (Frankfurt) down 0.6%.
- UK Economic Data:
- Unemployment rate rose to 5.1% in Oct-Dec 2025, highest since 2021.
- Private sector pay growth slowed to 3.9% annually, down from 6% earlier in 2025.
- Flash UK PMI composite output index rose to 52.1 in December, beating expectations.
- Pound and Euro: Pound up to USD1.3429, Euro up to USD1.1775.
- US Markets: Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all down by 0.4%-0.5%.
- US Economic Data:
- Nonfarm payrolls rose by 64,000 in November, but unemployment rate climbed to 4.6%.
- Three-month average job growth slowed to 22,000.
- Oil Prices: Brent oil down to USD59.01/barrel due to potential Ukraine-Russia peace deal and strong OPEC+ production.
- FTSE 100 Movers:
- Biggest risers: easyJet (+15.90p), Endeavour Mining (+106.00p), JD Sports (+2.14p), Fresnillo (+68.00p), Convatec (+4.80p).
- Biggest fallers: Babcock International (-45.00p), BP (-14.95p), Informa (-27.00p), Shell (-72.00p), Polar Capital (-11.00p).
- SpaceX Valuation Boost: Scottish Mortgage, Edinburgh Worldwide, Baillie Gifford US Growth, and Schiehallion Fund saw NAV increases due to higher SpaceX valuation ahead of its IPO.
- Upcoming Data: UK inflation and producer price inflation figures on Wednesday, along with Serco's trading statement.
LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: Ukraine talks drag oil and defence stocks down
- London Stock Market (16th Dec 2025, 12:05):
- FTSE 100 down 0.4% at 9,710.97, weighed by energy and defence stocks.
- FTSE 250 up 0.1% at 22,061.56; AIM All-Share down 0.1% at 748.39.
- BP and Shell shares down 1.5% due to Brent crude falling below $60/barrel on Russia-Ukraine peace deal prospects.
- Defence stocks (e.g., Babcock International, BAE Systems) down 5.6% and 2.4% respectively.
- Pound higher at $1.3417; Euro lower at $1.1756; Dollar weaker against yen at ¥154.86.
- Corporate News:
- Goodwin PLC reports pretax profit rise to £36.8 million in H1, revenue up 27% to £135.6 million.
- Tavistock jumps 27% after favorable court ruling in litigation with Titan Wealth Services.
- SulNOx rises 10% on Australian patent grant for fuel-saving technology.
- European Markets:
- CAC 40 (Paris) down 0.1%; DAX 40 (Frankfurt) down 0.3%.
- Eurozone trade surplus unchanged at €18.4 billion in October, driven by energy sector improvement.
- US Markets (Pre-Open):
- Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq called lower by 0.2%, 0.3%, and 0.4% respectively.
- US 10-year Treasury yield at 4.18%; Gold down to $4,278.40/ounce.
- Economic Calendar:
- US nonfarm payrolls, retail sales, and flash composite PMI data pending.
LONDON BROKER RATINGS: Goldman starts Big Yellow; Shore starts Savills
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- 16th Dec 2025 09:52
- The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Tuesday morning and on Monday:
-
FTSE 100
- Citigroup cuts 3i Group price target to 4,750 (4,800) pence - 'buy'
- JPMorgan raises IMI price target to 3,010 (2,960) pence - 'overweight'
-
FTSE 250
- UBS cuts Victrex price target to 575 (675) pence - 'sell'
- UBS raises Johnson Matthey price target to 2,200 (2,100) pence - 'neutral'
- Goldman Sachs starts Big Yellow with 'neutral' - price target 1,120 pence
- Shore Capital initiates Savills with 'buy'; fair value 1,180 pence
- BofA cuts Frasers Group price target to 1,055 (1,107) pence - 'buy'
-
SMALL CAP
- Deutsche Bank Research starts Magnum Ice Cream with 'hold' - price target 14.50 EUR
- Berenberg starts Solid State with 'buy' - price target 240 pence
- RBC cuts Gore Street Energy price target to 50 (60) pence - 'underperform'
- Related Shares:
LONDON MARKET OPEN: UK jobs data and flash PMIs keep London flat
- London Stock Market:
- FTSE 100 opened down 3.49 points at 9,748.19.
- FTSE 250 up 0.1% at 22,064.48.
- AIM All-Share down 0.050 points at 749.18.
- Cboe UK 100 up 0.2% at 977.68.
- UK Unemployment Data:
- Unemployment rate rose to 5.1% in August-October period.
- Payrolled employment declined by 22,000 in September-October and 38,000 in November.
- Average weekly earnings growth slowed to 4.7% annually.
- Real pay rose 0.6% year-on-year after inflation adjustment.
- Economic Outlook:
- ING economist predicts Bank of England rate cuts, starting Thursday.
- Slowing wage growth supports case for interest rate cut.
- Seasonal hiring weaker due to economic uncertainty.
- European Markets:
- CAC 40 in Paris up 0.1% on mixed PMI data.
- DAX 40 in Frankfurt down 0.4% on weakening private sector momentum.
- Eurozone composite PMI fell to 51.9, below expectations.
- Corporate Highlights:
- easyJet topped FTSE 100, up 2.6%.
- BAE Systems down 2.6%; other defense stocks also weaker.
- IG Group up 5.4% on strong quarterly revenue growth.
- Touchstar plunged 23% on profit warning.
- Global Markets:
- Nikkei 225 down 1.6%; Shanghai Composite down 1.1%; Hang Seng down 1.5%.
- Wall Street ended lower: Dow down 0.1%, S&P 500 down 0.2%, Nasdaq down 0.6%.
- Brent oil down to USD59.87 per barrel; gold down to USD4,281.20 per ounce.
- Upcoming Data:
- US nonfarm payrolls and consumer price inflation data due this week.
- UK flash composite PMI and Germany's ZEW survey expected Tuesday.
LONDON MARKET EARLY CALL: Stocks called red ahead of UK flash PMI data
- London Stocks: Set to open lower on Tuesday, following New York's decline, with FTSE 100 futures indicating a 0.3% drop.
- Currency Movements: Sterling and euro weakened against the USD, while the dollar remained under pressure against the yen.
- Dollar Outlook: Broadly negative, but potential for short-term rebound due to diverging Fed views and market positioning.
- US Markets: Wall Street closed lower on Monday, with Dow down 0.1%, S&P 500 down 0.2%, and Nasdaq down 0.6%.
- Asian Markets: Nikkei 225 down 1.4%, Shanghai Composite down 1.0%, Hang Seng down 2.0%, and S&P/ASX 200 down 0.4%.
- Japan Economy: Private sector growth eased in December, with services cooling and manufacturing remaining in contraction (S&P Global flash composite PMI: 51.5).
- Australia Economy: Consumer sentiment retreated below neutral threshold in December (Westpac–Melbourne Institute index: 94.5).
- Commodities: Gold and Brent oil prices slightly lower early Tuesday.
- Corporate Calendar: Hollywood Bowl, IG Group, and SThree to release financial statements or trading updates.
- Economic Calendar: Flash composite PMI data releases from UK, eurozone, Germany, France, and US nonfarm payrolls later in the day.
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