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MAIN - Ticker AI Digest

Main Street Capital Corporation 📰 1
58.55000000 | Today -0.07%
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Main Street Capital Corporation in one cleaner mobile flow.
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MAIN Data 2026-08-31 Preview Mode
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Digested News

Today's Catalysts (MAIN) 1
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Worth 1
All Market News (Last 30 Days) 41
MAIN 14:41
Main Street Capital Corporation
3 Reliable Income Generators to Buy in July
MAIN 12:00
Main Street Capital Corporation
5 Safe Monthly Pay Dividend Stocks Boomers Love in July
MAIN 10:32
Main Street Capital Corporation
MSC Income Fund appoints Nicholas Meserve CEO
MAIN 08:12
Main Street Capital Corporation
Let Your Dividends Do The Housework For You. Literally.
MAIN 21:17
Main Street Capital Corporation
Private credit default fears spook BDC investors
MAIN 10:05
Main Street Capital Corporation
MSC Income Fund Announces Exit of Portfolio Investment
MAIN 10:00
Main Street Capital Corporation
Main Street Announces Exit of Portfolio Investment

Today's AI

MAIN · Agentic Market Intelligence

MAIN intelligence is listening.

The engine is monitoring news, price structure, forecasts and financial changes. New scored evidence will appear here against this stock automatically.

Live catalyst scoringAI price pathsRisk-aware triggersFinancial blend
AI bias0.0
Bullish0
Bearish0
Today's AI Starts With News

1 live catalyst is opening Today’s AI for MAIN.

Start with the live headline tape first. Today’s AI findings sit next, and the AI Blend stack drops lower once the news context is framed. Financial Forecastist now feeds the blend too.
Live Tape Data 2026-08-31 Blend Lower Down
Read the alert tape first, then open Today’s AI findings. Use AI Expand on any card to open the AI explanation, results tables and financial forecast rows instantly.
1 Today
Front Of Desk
Main Street Capital Corporation has fresh news flow live now, so Today’s AI is leading with the tape before the blended signal stack below.
Single-Ticker Today's AI
MAIN signal theatre built from scored market catalysts, automated AI forecasts, financial forecasting and live trigger logic.

This is the ticker-specific Today’s AI desk for Main Street Capital Corporation. It compresses the live catalyst tape, bullish and bearish scoring, AI price forecasts, financial forecasting and trigger logic into one cockpit so users can judge conviction without hopping across screens.

Subscription Required Bullish vs Bearish Scoring AI + Financial Blend Buy / Sell Trigger Engine Today's AI Findings
Subscriber Unlock
Subscribe to unlock the full MAIN Today’s AI cockpit.

Subscription turns this tab into a live signal desk with today’s news findings at the top, AI plus financial blend comparisons at the bottom, buy and sell trigger logic, and the full findings ledger behind every scored row.

  • AI-scored market headlines with sentiment buckets and buzzword breakdowns.
  • Forecast leaders ranked by projected gain against current market price.
  • Advanced technical scans, AI forecast stacks, and predictive MACD inside the live stock terminal charts.
  • Single-ticker AI Crunch desks with buy or sell trigger logic and full catalyst ledgers.
  • Scored earnings shock board with predicted direction, sector pulse and catalyst narrative.
  • Fast market scan built for event-driven trading, not passive dashboards.
Subscribe to unlock the ticker-specific Today’s AI stack, sentiment gauges, AI blend stage, and the full findings ledger for MAIN on 2026-08-31.

Fundamentals Matrix

About Main Street Capital Corporation
Main Street Capital Corporation is a business development company and a small business investment company specializing in direct and indirect investments. In direct investments, the firm specializes in private equity capital to lower middle market companies. The firm specializes in recapitalizations, loan, growth capital, mezzanine debt, corporate carveouts, family estate planning, management buyouts, refinancing, private loan, private credit solutions, senior secured term debt, unintranche term debt, subordinated debt, preferred equity, common equity, minimal or no fixed amortization, split lien term debt, industry consolidation, mature, later stage and emerging growth. The firm makes both control and non-control equity investments. The firm also provides debt capital to middle market companies for strategic acquisitions, management buyouts, growth financings, majority and minority recapitalizations, and refinancing. The firm also makes equity co-investments. The firm provides debt financing solutions for acquisitions, recapitalizations, and refinancing to middle market companies. The firm provides private debt and private equity capital to lower middle market companies and debt capital to middle market companies. The firm seeks to partner with entrepreneurs, business owners and management teams and generally provides one stop financing alternatives within its lower middle market portfolio. It prefers to invest in air freight and logistics, auto components, building products, chemicals, commercial services, computers, construction and engineering, consumer finance, consumer services, electronic equipment, energy equipment and services, financial services, health care equipment, health care providers, hotels, restaurants, and leisure, internet software and services, IT Services, machinery, oil, gas and consumable fuels, paper and forest products, professional and industrial services, manufacturing, road and rail, software, specialty retail, telecommunication, consumer discretionary, energy, materials, concrete, p

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Overall Fundamentals
Signal: Pending
Capital Strength
Signal: Pending
Float Liquidity
Signal: Pending
Short Pressure
Signal: Pending
Target Setup
Signal: Pending
Market Profile
Signal: Pending
Market Cap
4.8B
Enterprise Value
7.3B
Public Float
96.0
Broker Target
57.3333
Shares Out
93.0M
Long Interest
0
Short Interest
0
Exchange
NYSE
Currency Code
USD
ISIN
US56035L1044
Ex-Dividend
2026-08-07
Yield
8.58%
Dividend Rate
4.38
EPS
4.75
Market
NYSE
Standard Lists
Not currently ranked
Sector
Software and Computer ServicesUS fundamentals
Float / Shares Ratio
-
Short vs Long Delta
-
EV / Market Cap
-

Financials Matrix

News And Alerts First

1 live alert now opens the financials desk for MAIN.

Start with the headline flow and alert tape first. Then drop straight into Financial Forecastist below for the revenue path, EPS shape, cash pressure and balance-sheet read while the catalyst context is still hot.
Live Alerts Data 2026-08-31 Forecastist Below
Read the alert tape first, then move into Financial Forecastist below. Use AI Expand on any catalyst card to open the AI explanation and results tables without losing the ticker context.
1 Alerts
Front Of Desk
Main Street Capital Corporation has fresh filing flow live now, so the tape is framing the revenue, leverage and valuation story below.
Overall Stability
Signal: Pending
Profitability
Signal: Pending
Debt & Cash
Signal: Pending
Valuation Risk
Signal: Pending
Forward Expectation
Signal: Pending
Dividend Safety
Signal: Pending
Divi Rate
4.38
Ex Divi
2026-08-07
Earnings Date
-
Net Debt
2.4B
Cash
42.0M
EPS
4.75
Net Income
493.4M
Revenue
569.5M
Enterprise Value
7.3B
Trailing PE
10.8779
Forward PE
13.369
Price Sales TTM
8.4376
Price Book MRQ
1.5345
EV Revenue
13.8402
EV EBITDA
15.5362
Financial Forecastist

Worsening financial engine

Revenue is slipping -4.2% against the prior comparable period. Net margin is compressing by 38.1 pts. Net debt is building +17.5%.

Revenue -4.2% Net Income -57.8% FCF -21.1% Current Ratio 0.16x Forward Rev 147.5M
Worsening
Quarter Revenue
163.5M
-4.2%
vs prior comparable quarter
Net Margin
+29.9%
-38.1 pts
profitability pulse
Free Cash Flow
45.6M
-21.1%
cash conversion
Net Debt / EBITDA
28.2x
+17.5%
lower is cleaner
Revenue Engine

Latest quarter printed 163.5M with the top line cooling off against the last comparable period.

Profit Stack

Net income landed at 49.0M and the margin profile is tightening. That usually tells us whether operating leverage is finally kicking in.

Balance-Sheet Pressure

Cash sits near 20.8M while net debt is 2.5B. The leverage stack is moving the wrong way.

Quarterly Revenue Runway

Actual revenue bars, consensus revenue where available, plus the terminal model path.

Profit And Cash Conversion

Net income and free cash flow moving together is usually what separates genuine improvement from noise.

Balance-Sheet Pressure

Cash, net debt and liquidity tell us whether the business is strengthening or just surviving.

Annual Power Curve

Longer-cycle revenue and net income help frame whether the company is compounding or rolling over.
Q3 2025
Consensus
139.9M
Revenue Path
0.98
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue -0.0%
Q1 2026
Consensus
145.2M
Revenue Path
1.01
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue 0.0%
Q2 2026
Consensus
144.1M
Revenue Path
0.96
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue -0.0%
Q3 2026
Consensus
147.5M
Revenue Path
0.97
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue -0.0%
FY 2026
Consensus
582.1M
Revenue Path
3.84
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue -0.0%
FY 2027
Consensus
624.4M
Revenue Path
3.94
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue +0.0%

Quarterly Statement Tape

Last 6 Quarters
Period Revenue Net Income FCF Net Debt
Q1 2026 163.5M 49.0M 45.6M 2.5B
Q4 2025 202.9M 131.1M 103.5M 2.4B
Q3 2025 183.7M 123.7M 90.6M 2.1B
Q2 2025 177.4M 122.5M 102.5M 2.1B
Q1 2025 170.7M 116.1M 57.8M 2.1B
Q4 2024 221.2M 174.2M 145.0M 2.0B

Annual Financial Power

Last 5 Years
Period Revenue Net Income EBITDA FCF
FY 2025 644.5M 493.4M 526.7M 347.4M
FY 2024 724.7M 508.1M 543.9M -87.1M
FY 2023 612.5M 428.4M 454.4M 285.3M
FY 2022 331.2M 241.6M 318.4M -246.9M
FY 2021 411.2M 330.8M 843.9M -515.4M

Structure DNA

Market Structure DNA

Income Anchor profile with trend broken

Price is 23.3% through the 52-week range, -0.8% vs 50DMA and -9.6% vs 200DMA. 30.0% of the register is locked by institutions and insiders, leaving 70.0% free float. Capital rhythm reads monthly with forward yield near 8.6% and payout around 24.8%.

Trend broken Institutional gravity Reliable income rhythm As Of 2026-07-10
Income Anchor
Structure Score
62.9 / 100
Income Anchor
Trend Stack
-0.8% / -9.6%
vs 50DMA / 200DMA
52W Position
23.3%
auction position inside the yearly range
Ownership Lock
30.0%
26.2% institutions | 3.8% insiders
Pressure Pocket
10.8% short float
Short ratio 14.0x | monthly +1.9%
Capital Rhythm
Monthly
Yield 8.6% | payout 24.8%
Trend Runway

Implied spot is 51.67 with the stock -0.8% vs 50DMA and -9.6% vs 200DMA. The tape is sitting 23.3% through the 52-week range, which frames the regime as trend broken.

Ownership Register

Institutions hold about 26.2% and insiders about 3.8%, locking roughly 30.0% of the register and leaving 70.0% in free float. That reads as institutional gravity.

Pressure Pocket

Short pressure is running near 10.8% of float with short ratio 14.0x and monthly change +1.9%. That gives us a read on whether the tape is clean, crowded, or coiled.

Capital Rhythm

Dividend cadence reads monthly with 16 event(s) in the last full year, a five-year average of 15.4, and stability score 80.0/100. Forward yield sits near 8.6% while payout is around 24.8%.

Structure Score

One-glance gauge for the current market-structure regime.

Pillar Radar

Trend, ownership, pressure, and capital rhythm mapped on one wheel.

Position And Float Balance

Shows whether the stock is extended, tightly held, or carrying capital-return support.

Dividend Cadence Tape

Historical dividend-event counts help reveal how dependable the income rhythm has been.

Dividend Cadence Ledger

Monthly
Year Dividend Count Context
2026 11 Current partial year
2025 16 Full year
2024 16 Full year
2023 16 Full year
2022 16 Full year
2021 13 Full year
2020 11 Full year
2019 14 Full year

Structure Facts

Live Snapshot
Implied Spot
51.67
derived from market cap / shares
52W High
63.17
upper auction edge
52W Low
48.17
lower auction edge
Beta
0.72
volatility character
Shares Out
93.0M
fully diluted count
Shares Float
89.3M
tradable register
Shares Short
9.7M
borrowed stock
Short Ratio
14.0x
days-to-cover style read
Ex-Dividend
2026-08-07
28 day(s) to ex-date
Dividend Pay
2026-09-15
67 day(s) to pay date
Last Split
-
split date not supplied

Capital Radar

Capital Regime
Building signal blend...
Smart Money Tilt
Public vs institutions
Target Conviction
Broker coverage pulse
Insider Pressure
Director + TR1 flow
Last Held Position
-
Public Hands
-
Institutions
24.9331
Institutions As Of
2026-05-31
Avg Broker Target
-
Upside Vs Price
-
Purchase Director Dealing
0
Sale Director Dealing
0
Purchase TR1
0
Sale TR1
0
Broker Coverage Rows
0
Institution Holders Tracked
40
Public Vs Institutional Ownership (3D)
Top Institution Holders (Latest Per Holder)
Director Dealing Sentiment Flow
Broker Target Bias
Signal: Pending
Capital Momentum Matrix
Broker Targets Vs Price
Aggregated Institution Weight By Holder

Short Data · MAIN · Last 30 Days

Short D · 12/26 EMA spread with 9 signal

Red histogram bars show short loading accelerating. Green bars show short covering accelerating. The two lines expose the crossover before the raw holder table does.

Short D waiting

Building MAIN short-momentum read

Short D compares the ticker’s disclosed short-position momentum with its own signal line.

Short D
Signal
Momentum

Declared Short Holders

Nexus Pulse Engine

Overall Buy/Sell/Hold
Signal: Pending
Technical Composite
Signal: Pending
Financial Composite
Signal: Pending
Fundamental Composite
Signal: Pending
Short Pressure
Signal: Pending
Momentum Bias
Signal: Pending

Volatility Lab

ATR(14)
Realized Vol (20d)
Volume Spike Z

AI Charts

News And Alerts First

The alert tape opens the door for MAIN, and AI Charts sits just below.

Start with the headline flow and live catalyst tape first. Then move straight into AI Charts below for price reaction, AI targets, chart structure and catalyst beacons while the news context is still hot.
Live Tape Data 2026-08-31 AI Charts Below
Read the alert tape first, then move into AI Charts below. Use AI Expand on any catalyst card to open the AI explanation and results tables instantly.
1 Today
Catalyst Pulse
Main Street Capital Corporation has fresh news flow live now, so the tape is framing the chart workspace below.
AI Charts Studio
MAIN Price History
Live structure, automated forecasts, technical overlays and catalyst beacons in one chart workspace.
30 Day View Window 30D Data 2026-08-31 Open Preview Studio Brief
Chart Intelligence Suite
Swipe the timeframe, call the overlays, and keep the AI signal stack fused into one chart cockpit.
The mobile chart console is now framed as one connected surface so forecasting, structure, catalyst beacons and chart tools all sit inside the price workspace.

Automated signalling scans momentum shifts, crossovers and volatility breaks in real time. Automated AI forecasts map best, average and worst simulation paths forward, predictive MACD extends the momentum story, and catalyst beacons pin market-moving headlines directly onto price action so users can connect news, signals and structure without leaving the chart.

Automated Signalling Automated AI Forecasts Predictive MACD Catalyst Beacons Live Price Structure
AI AutoDetection Automatic bull / bear chart read
Detected market structure
Analysing selected range
Why this call
Waiting for sufficient price history.
Invalidation
Updates with the timeframe.
Bull caseCalculating upside confirmation.
Bear caseCalculating downside confirmation.
Indicators0
Technicals0
RSI Gauge
Price Change
AI Forecast