SRP - Ticker AI Digest

Serco Group 📰 1
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SRP Data 2026-03-31 Preview Mode
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Today's Catalysts (SRP) 1
SRP 16:22
Serco Group
Transactions in Own Shares and Total Voting Rights
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DirectorDealing 1
SRP 14:04
Serco Group
Director/PDMR Shareholding
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Results 1
SRP 06:01
Serco Group
2025 full year results
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**Summary of Serco Group PLCs 2025 Full Year Results:**
Serco Group PLC reported strong financial performance for 2025, with revenue of £4.9 billion, up 3% at constant currency, and underlying operating profit of £272 million, up 1% at constant currency. The company achieved organic growth of 1%, with significant contract wins and growth offsetting immigration reductions in the UK and Australia. Key highlights include
**Revenue and Profit Growth** Revenue increased to £4.9 billion, with underlying operating profit at £272 million. Reported operating profit rose 89% to £246 million.
**Cash Flow** Strong free cash flow of £219 million, ahead of guidance, with a trading cash conversion of 112%.
**Order Intake and Book** Order intake was £5.5 billion, with a book-to-bill ratio of 114%. The order book increased to £14.5 billion, 9% higher than 2024.
**Financial Position** Adjusted net debt was £206 million, with leverage at 0.7x net debt to EBITDA, significantly <mark style="background-color:yellow">below</mark> the target range of 1-2x.
**Shareholder Returns** Completed a £50 million share buyback in 2025 and announced a new £75 million buyback for 2026. Recommended a final dividend of 3.05 pence per share, an 8% increase.
**Strategic Progress** Strengthened position in key markets, particularly defence, with a pipeline of £12.1 billion, up 8% and the highest in over a decade. North American pipeline more than doubled.
**Operational Excellence** Contract retention rates over 90%, improved safety performance, and strong colleague engagement. Successful integration of the MT&S acquisition.
**Guidance for 2026** Reiterated guidance with revenue of around £5 billion, organic growth of 3%, and underlying operating profit of £300 million, driven by contract ramp-ups and productivity improvements.
Sercos CEO, Anthony Kirby, emphasized the companys strategic and operational progress, highlighting its role as a trusted partner to governments globally. The company is well-positioned for growth in 2026, with a robust financial position and a focus on sustainable growth, competitiveness, and operational excellence.
Here is the HTML table code comparing Serco Group PLC's financials and debt year on year:
Metric20252024Change at Reported CurrencyChange at Constant Currency
Revenue£4,877m£4,787m2%3%
Underlying Operating Profit£272m£274m-1%1%
Reported Operating Profit£246m£130m89%-
Underlying Earnings Per Share (diluted)16.93p16.67p2%-
Reported Earnings Per Share (diluted)14.07p4.10p243%-
Dividend Per Share (recommended)4.50p4.16p8%-
Free Cash Flow£219m£228m-4%-
Adjusted Net Debt£206m£100m106%-
Reported Net Debt£710m£630m13%-

Debt Comparison

Metric20252024Change
Adjusted Net Debt£206m£100m106%
Reported Net Debt£710m£630m13%
Leverage (Net Debt to EBITDA)0.7x0.3xSignificantly below target range (1-2x)
**Notes:** * The tables compare key financials and debt metrics for Serco Group PLC between 2025 and 2024. * The first table shows revenue, profits, earnings per share, dividends, and free cash flow. * The second table focuses on debt metrics, including adjusted net debt, reported net debt, and leverage. * The changes are presented as percentages, with constant currency changes provided where applicable. * The leverage ratio is significantly below the target range, indicating a strong financial position.
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TR1 1
SRP 16:16
Serco Group
Holding(s) in Company
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TR1 Buy
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All Market News (Last 30 Days) 10
SRP 16:22
Serco Group
Transactions in Own Shares and Total Voting Rights
SRP 17:04
Serco Group
Transactions in Own Shares
SRP 14:04
Serco Group
Director/PDMR Shareholding
SRP 16:51
Serco Group
Transaction in Own Shares
SRP 16:16
Serco Group
Holding(s) in Company
AI Expand: Explanation + Tables
Return to today’s catalyst cards, chart beacons and AI charts.
TR1 Buy
SRP 10:01
Serco Group
Publication of the 2025 ARA and 2026 Notice of AGM
SRP 16:26
Serco Group
Transaction in Own Shares
SRP 16:47
Serco Group
Transaction in Own Shares and Total Voting Rights
SRP 06:03
Serco Group
Share Repurchase Programme
SRP 06:01
Serco Group
2025 full year results
AI Expand: Explanation + Tables
Return to today’s catalyst cards, chart beacons and AI charts.
**Summary of Serco Group PLCs 2025 Full Year Results:**
Serco Group PLC reported strong financial performance for 2025, with revenue of £4.9 billion, up 3% at constant currency, and underlying operating profit of £272 million, up 1% at constant currency. The company achieved organic growth of 1%, with significant contract wins and growth offsetting immigration reductions in the UK and Australia. Key highlights include
**Revenue and Profit Growth** Revenue increased to £4.9 billion, with underlying operating profit at £272 million. Reported operating profit rose 89% to £246 million.
**Cash Flow** Strong free cash flow of £219 million, ahead of guidance, with a trading cash conversion of 112%.
**Order Intake and Book** Order intake was £5.5 billion, with a book-to-bill ratio of 114%. The order book increased to £14.5 billion, 9% higher than 2024.
**Financial Position** Adjusted net debt was £206 million, with leverage at 0.7x net debt to EBITDA, significantly <mark style="background-color:yellow">below</mark> the target range of 1-2x.
**Shareholder Returns** Completed a £50 million share buyback in 2025 and announced a new £75 million buyback for 2026. Recommended a final dividend of 3.05 pence per share, an 8% increase.
**Strategic Progress** Strengthened position in key markets, particularly defence, with a pipeline of £12.1 billion, up 8% and the highest in over a decade. North American pipeline more than doubled.
**Operational Excellence** Contract retention rates over 90%, improved safety performance, and strong colleague engagement. Successful integration of the MT&S acquisition.
**Guidance for 2026** Reiterated guidance with revenue of around £5 billion, organic growth of 3%, and underlying operating profit of £300 million, driven by contract ramp-ups and productivity improvements.
Sercos CEO, Anthony Kirby, emphasized the companys strategic and operational progress, highlighting its role as a trusted partner to governments globally. The company is well-positioned for growth in 2026, with a robust financial position and a focus on sustainable growth, competitiveness, and operational excellence.
Here is the HTML table code comparing Serco Group PLC's financials and debt year on year:
Metric20252024Change at Reported CurrencyChange at Constant Currency
Revenue£4,877m£4,787m2%3%
Underlying Operating Profit£272m£274m-1%1%
Reported Operating Profit£246m£130m89%-
Underlying Earnings Per Share (diluted)16.93p16.67p2%-
Reported Earnings Per Share (diluted)14.07p4.10p243%-
Dividend Per Share (recommended)4.50p4.16p8%-
Free Cash Flow£219m£228m-4%-
Adjusted Net Debt£206m£100m106%-
Reported Net Debt£710m£630m13%-

Debt Comparison

Metric20252024Change
Adjusted Net Debt£206m£100m106%
Reported Net Debt£710m£630m13%
Leverage (Net Debt to EBITDA)0.7x0.3xSignificantly below target range (1-2x)
**Notes:** * The tables compare key financials and debt metrics for Serco Group PLC between 2025 and 2024. * The first table shows revenue, profits, earnings per share, dividends, and free cash flow. * The second table focuses on debt metrics, including adjusted net debt, reported net debt, and leverage. * The changes are presented as percentages, with constant currency changes provided where applicable. * The leverage ratio is significantly below the target range, indicating a strong financial position.

Today's AI

Today's AI Starts With News

1 live catalyst is opening Today’s AI for SRP.

Start with the live headline tape first. Today’s AI findings sit next, and the AI Blend stack drops lower once the news context is framed. Financial Forecastist now feeds the blend too.
Live Tape Data 2026-03-31 Blend Lower Down
Read the alert tape first, then open Today’s AI findings. Use AI Expand on any card to open the AI explanation, results tables and financial forecast rows instantly.
1 Today
Front Of Desk
Serco Group has fresh news flow live now, so Today’s AI is leading with the tape before the blended signal stack below.
16:22 Today's Catalyst Transactions in Own Shares and Total Voting Rights
Single-Ticker Today's AI
SRP signal theatre built from scored market catalysts, automated AI forecasts, financial forecasting and live trigger logic.

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Subscription Required Bullish vs Bearish Scoring AI + Financial Blend Buy / Sell Trigger Engine Today's AI Findings
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Fundamentals Matrix

Overall Fundamentals
Signal: Pending
Capital Strength
Signal: Pending
Float Liquidity
Signal: Pending
Short Pressure
Signal: Pending
Target Setup
Signal: Pending
Market Profile
Signal: Pending
Market Cap
2.6B
Enterprise Value
2.6B
Public Float
99.5
Broker Target
306.25
Shares Out
985.4M
Long Interest
100
Short Interest
0
Exchange
LSE
Currency Code
GBX
ISIN
GB0007973794
Market
LSE - MAIN MARKET
Sector
Industrial Support Services
Float / Shares Ratio
-
Short vs Long Delta
-
EV / Market Cap
-

Financials Matrix

News And Alerts First

1 live alert now opens the financials desk for SRP.

Start with the headline flow and alert tape first. Then drop straight into Financial Forecastist below for the revenue path, EPS shape, cash pressure and balance-sheet read while the catalyst context is still hot.
Live Alerts Data 2026-03-31 Forecastist Below
Read the alert tape first, then move into Financial Forecastist below. Use AI Expand on any catalyst card to open the AI explanation and results tables without losing the ticker context.
1 Alerts
Front Of Desk
Serco Group has fresh filing flow live now, so the tape is framing the revenue, leverage and valuation story below.
16:22 Today's Alert Transactions in Own Shares and Total Voting Rights
Overall Stability
Signal: Pending
Profitability
Signal: Pending
Debt & Cash
Signal: Pending
Valuation Risk
Signal: Pending
Forward Expectation
Signal: Pending
Dividend Safety
Signal: Pending
Divi Rate
0.05
Ex Divi
2026-04-09
Earnings Date
2026-03-05
Net Debt
710.0M
Cash
199.3M
EPS
0.14
Net Income
145.6M
Revenue
5.0B
Enterprise Value
2.6B
Trailing PE
18.8571
Forward PE
14.9925
Price Sales TTM
0.5597
Price Book MRQ
3.1449
EV Revenue
0.7089
EV EBITDA
7.353
Financial Forecastist

Mixed financial engine

Revenue is stable +0.1% against the prior comparable period. Net margin is stable by 0.1 pts. Net debt is building +25.6%.

Revenue +0.1% Net Income +4.0% FCF +33.4% Current Ratio 0.93x Forward Rev 0
Mixed
Quarter Revenue
2.5B
+0.1%
vs prior comparable quarter
Net Margin
+2.3%
+0.1 pts
profitability pulse
Free Cash Flow
228.5M
+33.4%
cash conversion
Net Debt / EBITDA
5.7x
+25.6%
lower is cleaner
Revenue Engine

Latest quarter printed 2.5B with the top line stable against the last comparable period.

Profit Stack

Net income landed at 57.0M and the margin profile is stable. That usually tells us whether operating leverage is finally kicking in.

Balance-Sheet Pressure

Cash sits near 199.3M while net debt is 710.0M. The leverage stack is moving the wrong way.

Quarterly Revenue Runway

Actual revenue bars, consensus revenue where available, plus the terminal model path.

Profit And Cash Conversion

Net income and free cash flow moving together is usually what separates genuine improvement from noise.

Balance-Sheet Pressure

Cash, net debt and liquidity tell us whether the business is strengthening or just surviving.

Annual Power Curve

Longer-cycle revenue and net income help frame whether the company is compounding or rolling over.
Q1 2024
Consensus
0
Revenue Path
0.00
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue -
Q2 2024
Consensus
0
Revenue Path
0.00
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue -
Q3 2024
Consensus
0
Revenue Path
0.00
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue -
Q1 2025
Consensus
0
Revenue Path
0.00
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue -
FY 2026
Consensus
5.0B
Revenue Path
0.19
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue +0.1%
FY 2027
Consensus
5.2B
Revenue Path
0.20
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue +0.1%

Quarterly Statement Tape

Last 6 Quarters
Period Revenue Net Income FCF Net Debt
Q4 2025 2.5B 57.0M 228.5M 710.0M
Q2 2025 2.4B 88.6M 184.1M 783.4M
Q4 2024 2.5B -40.0M 226.9M 623.4M
Q2 2024 2.4B 84.2M 176.1M 478.3M
Q4 2023 2.5B 54.8M 171.3M 565.5M
Q2 2023 2.4B 147.6M 191.7M 655.0M

Annual Financial Power

Last 5 Years
Period Revenue Net Income EBITDA FCF
FY 2025 5.0B 145.6M 292.0M 405.6M
FY 2024 4.8B 44.2M 326.9M 385.0M
FY 2023 4.9B 202.4M 448.9M 368.4M
FY 2022 4.5B 155.4M 382.0M 307.8M
FY 2021 4.4B 303.9M 371.5M 317.8M

Structure DNA

Market Structure DNA

Yield Compounder profile with trend runway open

Price is 85.8% through the 52-week range, -0.6% vs 50DMA and +14.6% vs 200DMA. 64.3% of the register is locked by institutions and insiders, leaving 35.7% free float. Capital rhythm reads semi-annual with forward yield near 1.5% and payout around 46.9%.

Trend runway open Institutional gravity Reliable income rhythm As Of 2026-04-19
Yield Compounder
Structure Score
77.0 / 100
Yield Compounder
Trend Stack
-0.6% / +14.6%
vs 50DMA / 200DMA
52W Position
85.8%
auction position inside the yearly range
Ownership Lock
64.3%
63.2% institutions | 110.6% insiders
Pressure Pocket
35.7% free float
Vendor short-float fields were not supplied
Capital Rhythm
Semi-Annual
Yield 1.5% | payout 46.9%
Trend Runway

Implied spot is 299.20 with the stock -0.6% vs 50DMA and +14.6% vs 200DMA. The tape is sitting 85.8% through the 52-week range, which frames the regime as trend runway open.

Ownership Register

Institutions hold about 63.2% and insiders about 110.6%, locking roughly 64.3% of the register and leaving 35.7% in free float. That reads as institutional gravity.

Pressure Pocket

The API did not return a usable short-float field for this ticker, so the pressure score leans more on float lock and crowding than a full short ledger.

Capital Rhythm

Dividend cadence reads semi-annual with 2 event(s) in the last full year, a five-year average of 2.0, and stability score 100.0/100. Forward yield sits near 1.5% while payout is around 46.9%.

Structure Score

One-glance gauge for the current market-structure regime.

Pillar Radar

Trend, ownership, pressure, and capital rhythm mapped on one wheel.

Position And Float Balance

Shows whether the stock is extended, tightly held, or carrying capital-return support.

Dividend Cadence Tape

Historical dividend-event counts help reveal how dependable the income rhythm has been.

Dividend Cadence Ledger

Semi-Annual
Year Dividend Count Context
2026 1 Current partial year
2025 2 Full year
2024 2 Full year
2023 2 Full year
2022 2 Full year
2021 2 Full year
2020 1 Full year
2014 2 Full year

Structure Facts

Live Snapshot
Implied Spot
299.20
derived from market cap / shares
52W High
322.47
upper auction edge
52W Low
158.81
lower auction edge
Beta
0.52
volatility character
Shares Out
993.1M
fully diluted count
Shares Float
979.7M
tradable register
Shares Short
0
borrowed stock
Short Ratio
0.0x
days-to-cover style read
Ex-Dividend
2026-04-09
-10 day(s) to ex-date
Dividend Pay
-
payment date not supplied
Last Split
5:1
2000-04-10

Capital Radar

Capital Regime
—
Building signal blend...
Smart Money Tilt
—
Public vs institutions
Target Conviction
—
Broker coverage pulse
Insider Pressure
—
Director + TR1 flow
Last Held Position
-
Public Hands
-
Institutions
33.204
Institutions As Of
2026-03-18
Avg Broker Target
-
Upside Vs Price
-
Purchase Director Dealing
1
Sale Director Dealing
2
Purchase TR1
6
Sale TR1
5
Broker Coverage Rows
7
Institution Holders Tracked
5
Public Vs Institutional Ownership (3D)
Top Institution Holders (Latest Per Holder)
Director Dealing Sentiment Flow
Broker Target Bias
Signal: Pending
Capital Momentum Matrix
Broker Targets Vs Price
Aggregated Institution Weight By Holder

Short Data - Last 30 Days

Nexus Pulse Engine

Overall Buy/Sell/Hold
Signal: Pending
Technical Composite
Signal: Pending
Financial Composite
Signal: Pending
Fundamental Composite
Signal: Pending
Short Pressure
Signal: Pending
Momentum Bias
Signal: Pending

Volatility Lab

ATR(14)
Realized Vol (20d)
Volume Spike Z

AI Charts

News And Alerts First

The alert tape opens the door for SRP, and AI Charts sits just below.

Start with the headline flow and live catalyst tape first. Then move straight into AI Charts below for price reaction, AI targets, chart structure and catalyst beacons while the news context is still hot.
Live Tape Data 2026-03-31 AI Charts Below
Read the alert tape first, then move into AI Charts below. Use AI Expand on any catalyst card to open the AI explanation and results tables instantly.
1 Today
Catalyst Pulse
Serco Group has fresh news flow live now, so the tape is framing the chart workspace below.
16:22 Today's Catalyst Transactions in Own Shares and Total Voting Rights
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SRP Price History
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30 Day View Window 30D Data 2026-03-31 Open Preview Studio Brief
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Automated signalling scans momentum shifts, crossovers and volatility breaks in real time. Automated AI forecasts map best, average and worst simulation paths forward, predictive MACD extends the momentum story, and catalyst beacons pin market-moving headlines directly onto price action so users can connect news, signals and structure without leaving the chart.

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Technicals0
AI Forecast 2.30%
RSI Gauge
Price Change
AI Forecast